WHAT IF

WHAT IS “WHAT IF”?

  • What if analysis is a structured brainstorming method of determining what things can go wrong and judging the likelihood and consequences of those situations occurring.
  • The answers to these questions form the basis for making judgments regarding the acceptability of those risks and determining a recommended course of action for those risks judged to the unacceptable.
  • In simple words, the examination of possible deviation from the design, construction, modification or operating event.

WHY “WHAT IF” IS IMPORTANT?

  • It allows us to identify Hazards, Hazardous situations or specific sequences that could produce undesirable consequences.
  • It identifies possible abnormal situations, their consequences and existing safeguards.
  • It suggests alternatives for risk reduction where obvious improvement opportunities are identified or where safeguards are judged to be inadequate.

WHAT ARE REQUIRED?

  • Design documents, operating procedures and maintenance procedures are essential information.
  • Photographs and Videotapes of the operation or maintenance procedures.
  • Assembling a team with individuals experienced in the design, operation and servicing of similar equipment or facilities.
  • The team members should have knowledge of design standards, regulatory codes, past and potential operational errors as well as maintenance difficulties.
  • The team is comprised of Operating and Maintenance personnel engineer, Chemist, Structural engineer, Radiation expert and Safety representative.

BENEFITS

  • Simple to use and applied to variety of processes.
  • No specialized tools or techniques are needed.
  • It can be applied at any time of interest.
  • Results of the analysis are immediately available.

HOW “WHAT IF” IS DONE?

  • Picking the boundaries for the review (single equipment / entire facility).
  • Make a clear definition of the boundaries for the analysis.
  • Most important step to form an experienced and knowledgeable team.
  • Gather the required information from the above sources.
  • A facilitator can keep the review moving productively and effectively as well as a scribe is assigned to take notes of the review.
  • Develop the “What-If” questions using the documents available and knowledge of review team. Questions can be formulated around human errors, process upsets and equipment failures.
  • Determine the answers / results for each question as the situation occurs.
  • Assessing the risk judgments and making recommendations for each situation.
  • Generate the report that details the scope of the review as well as major findings and recommendations and then submit to the Department or Plant Manager.

LIMITATIONS

  • The technique rely heavily on the experience and intuition of review team.
  • It can be incomplete and miss some hazard potentials.
  • It is more subjective compared to HAZOP.

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